Friday, May 18, 2012

Even More on Morgan's Trade



So the trade was ?
(1) buy protection on a subset of high yield companies
  Possibly CDX.NA.HY.11 which expired last December
(2) sell huge amounts of protection on the general index CDX.NA.IG9
which expires December 2017 as a hedge against (1)

Since the riskier companies have a "credit" beta greater than one J.P. Morgan needed to sell more of the general index to get a market neutral hedge.  Perhaps they have learned rule 1 of stat arb.  Because two assets on average move together does not mean that they always have to move together.

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